Surebet Guide 2025 How to Identify, Calculate, and Profit from Surebets in Ireland
What Is a Surebet?
A surebet (also known as arbitrage bet, miracle bet, or arb) is a risk-free betting opportunity where you place bets on all possible outcomes of a sporting event across different bookmakers.
By exploiting the differences in odds, you can guarantee a profit regardless of the event’s result.
Simply put, surebets leverage varying bookmaker odds to ensure a winning return no matter what happens.
Best Bookmakers to Place SureBets
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How to Identify a Surebet
Calculate the implied probabilities from all outcome odds and sum them. If the total is less than 100%, you have a surebet opportunity.
Sum of implied probabilities=1odds1+1odds2+…+1oddsn<1Sum of implied probabilities=odds11+odds21+…+oddsn1<1
Example: Tennis Match
Djokovic at 2.10 → implied probability: 12.10=47.6%2.101=47.6%
Nadal at 2.10 → implied probability: 47.6%47.6%
Sum: 95.2%<100%95.2%<100% → Indicates a surebet.
How to Calculate Stakes
Allocate your total stake proportionally to each outcome for guaranteed equal returns:
Stake per outcome=1odds of outcomeSum of all implied probabilities×Total StakeStake per outcome=Sum of all implied probabilitiesodds of outcome1×Total Stake
Using the tennis example with a €100 total stake:
Bet on Djokovic: approx. €48.75
Bet on Nadal: approx. €51.25
Payout remains roughly equal regardless of the winner, locking in profit.
Steps for Placing a Surebet
.01
Register with multiple sportsbooks.
.02
Identify surebet opportunities by comparing odds.
.03
Calculate stakes precisely.
.04
Place bets quickly to avoid odds shifts.
Surebetting Tips
Risks of Surebetting
FAQ
Pre-match surebets with gradual odds changes.
Pre-match bets placed before event start; live surebets occur during active events with fast-odds movement.
At least two, ideally three to five for more opportunities.
Odds changes, stake limits, and account restrictions.
